CAROLYN'S COMPOSITIONS

October 16, 2011

Accu.Weather Makes Its 2011-2012 Winter Forecast


CAROLYN’S COMPOSITIONS

ACCU.WEATHER MAKES ITS

2011-2012 WINTER FORECAST

(To view the 2012-2013 winter forcecast click on

The 2012-2013 Weather Prediction from the Woolly Worm & Accuweather  )

      On October 8, 2011, at the 15th Annual Woolly Worm Festival held at Lewisburg, Pennsylvania, the wooly worm used its magical powers to predict the upcoming Pennsylvania winter weather (read about this prediction at Wooly Worms Predict the 2011 PA. Winter Weather, and other prediction sources at Mother Nature’s Creatures Predict Winter Weather).

On October 13 AccuWeather.com made its forecast of the winter weather in Western Pennsylvania.

     “We expect snowfall to be above normal,” said Jack Boston, an AccuWeather senior meteorologist. “The first could come as early as mid-November or Thanksgiving…An average winter in Western Pennsylvania brings about 41 inches of snow. This year, up to 60 inches could fall.

It will be mostly Alberta clippers— quick-moving storms that originate in Alberta, Canada…that typically produce 6 inches of powdery snow—that will sail through Western Pennsylvania in December and January.

In February, temperatures could rise to 50 degrees or higher occasionally — and that means rain, accounting for part of the month’s increased precipitation.

I recall last winter when my husband and Monte and I measured the snowfall in our yard—while the snow was still falling:

February 6, 2010

The biggest problem I have with brutal weather is worry concerning the travel my daughter does to get to her job. She drives up (and returns driving down) Laurel Mountain, a steep hill with a brutal curve in the middle. Often that drive is done in the wee hours of the morning.

My granddaughter rides a school bus over hilly roads, and my son-in-law drives miles in his job. While I can hibernate, my family members cannot.

Although I don’t look forward to rugged winter weather in November and December, I do enjoy “stay-inside” conditions in January. I enjoy the hibernation time, a time to regroup, write, and relax after a hectic holiday season. During the three years we lived in Stone Mountain, an Atlanta, Georgia, suburb, that was the worst adjustment. It was disorienting to lose my hibernation time due to the weather being quite nice.

~~~~~~~~~~~~

     While Alberta Clippers will be the cause of the Western Pennsylvania weather, La Nina will cause brutal weather in the North Central states.

La Nina occurs when sea surface temperatures across the equatorial central and eastern Pacific are below normal.** The way the jet stream is expected to be positioned during this coming winter will tend to drive storms through the Midwest and Great Lakes.*

“The brunt of the winter season, especially when dealing with cold, will be over the North Central U.S.,” stated Paul Pastelok, expert long-range meteorologist and leader of the AccuWeather.com Long-Range Forecasting Team.

     Chicago, which endured a monster blizzard last winter, could be one of the hardest-hit cities in terms of both snow and cold in the winter ahead.*

~~~~~~~~~~~~

     Why am I interested in Chicago weather?

Last year Monte spent several weeks trying to encourage me to take a trip to Chicago the first weekend in March.

“Who would be foolish enough to go to Chicago the first weekend in March?” I replied.

He wanted to attend a wrestling match being held at his alma mater, Northwestern University. He hadn’t returned since he graduated in the mid-1960s with a Ph. D. in physics.

Then, in mid-January, he won the argument. That was when I received three comments on separate posts on this blog, www.carolyncholland.worpress.com. A sister my mother had released for adoption when I was ten (I was unaware of this event) had accessed her original birth certificate and, at that point, easily discovered my blog (our mother’s unique name led her daughter right to me—her name is on my blog).

Guess where she lived?

Twenty miles from the site of Monte’s wrestling matches.

We went to Chicago. Mother Nature must have approved, because she was quite kind to us. Oh, we did have some rain, and a little snow one morning. The weather was cold, but not bitterly so. We stayed with Darlene for five nights and had a wonderful time.

Now when the Chicago weather is given I pay attention.

~~~~~~~~~~~~

     Darlene has contemplated leaving Chicago. The winters have become tiring.

In terms of both snow and cold, this winter is expected to be the worst in Chicago. AccuWeather.com Long-Range Meteorologist Josh Nagelberg even went so far as to say, “People in Chicago are going to want to move after this winter.”*

But all in all, I am glad she lives where Monte wanted to travel.

 ~~~~~~~~~~~~

     But I live in Southwestern Pennsylvania now. And I am not disappointed in the coming January/February hibernation season.

Just consider me a cuddly bear. See you next spring!

SOURCES

*http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/55890/accuweathercom-winter-20112012.asp?partner=accuweather

**http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/s_761771.html

~~~~~~~~~~~~

ADDITIONAL READING:

Wooly Worms Predict the 2011 PA. Winter Weather

Mother Nature’s Creatures Predict Winter Weather

PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL, WEATHER PROPHET EXTRAORDINARY

A House Frau Loses the Soap All My Children

Flash Drive Works After Being Laundered

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4 Comments »

  1. !!!!!!!!!!!! FINDING YOUR SISTER…COOL, Carolyn !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Comment by Joan — October 23, 2011 @ 12:31 pm | Reply

    • Joan—I really appreciate your comments.
      And yes, finding a sister is cool. But a long, convoluted story. Quite interesting, and soap operish!
      It’s the second time I’ve been through this—the first time was one half-sister and three of four half-brothers.
      Carolyn

      Comment by carolyncholland — October 24, 2011 @ 12:06 am | Reply

  2. Useful info. Lucky me I found your website accidentally, and I am surprised why this coincidence didn’t happened earlier! I bookmarked it.

    Comment by торрент трекер бесплатно — January 13, 2012 @ 3:37 am | Reply

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